ANR-lab team members are experts in reviewing trends based on the results of the Grushin conference

Ivan Klimov and Sergey Davydov acted as experts in the trend review that followed the results of the Grushin VTsIOM conference. Using content analysis of the texts of the conference reports, a database of trend signals was formed, which were distributed into subject-thematic clusters and formed the basis of a matrix (map) of trends. Our colleagues gave their assessments of the forecasts that were compiled as part of the trend map.

In particular, Ivan and Sergey called for deeper reflection regarding big data, on the one hand, because the quality of this data may be significantly inferior to the quality of traditional data, on the other hand, because big data can carry more serious risks in the field of cyber threats, and the legislative framework has not yet kept pace with these changes. Sergey also warned that accelerated technological progress currently coexists with old processes and procedures for its implementation. He calls this state “advanced progressive mythologization” and points out that it is actively used by political and business actors for their own selfish interests. In addition to this, Ivan predicted that people in the labor market will compete both with each other and with AI. Areas such as tokenization of human knowledge, skills and personal characteristics, areas of human and non-human interaction will be intensively developed. There will be exchanges operating with human tokens, as well as specialists in the field of non-human relations for the corporate world. Sergey summed up the review of trends and forecasts by stating that at the current time in Russia two very serious processes have overlapped with each other – technology development and geopolitical turbulence, and therefore uncertainty has increased manifold. In this uncertainty, Sergey calls for more active reflection on the essence of ongoing processes, since these processes, although discussed, are rather “pretended to be understandable.”